After 18 months in the bear market abyss, Apple is back in vogue again. A rally near the prior pre-split all-time high at 705 has ignited many bullish AAPL calls. Is now a good time to buy Apple (AAPL)?... >> READ MORE...

Many forces affect the market and individual stocks. Seasonality is one of them. In fact, AAPL seasonality shows a distinct drop in September, which is when AAPL started its 45% decline. Here’s the full seasonality chart.... >> READ MORE...

MarketWatch reports that most people missed the recent rally? Why? Obviously because nobody saw it coming. Here is one indicator that persistently suggested further gains (this indicator also explains why so many missed the rally).... >> READ MORE...

The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), the same outfit that formulated the VIX, also calculates the odds of a ‘two standard deviation decline,’ or large sudden drop. This ‘sudden drop’ index is at a historic extreme.... >> READ MORE...

The VIX, as we know it, is trading near lows not seen since February 2007. The original VIX, which has a price history going all the way back to 1986, just fell to an all-time low. By this measure volatility has never been lower, the implication is not what many would expect.... >> READ MORE...

More than ever before, investors are looking at various sentiment gauges to get a pulse on the market. After all, excessive optimism correctly foreshadowed every recent crash or correction. But, there’s a big sentiment divergence right now.... >> READ MORE...

After many weeks of relentless gains, the S&P 500 is showing first ‘chink in the armor.’ In fact, there are three persuasive reasons to expect lower prices, but there’s also one strong force that’s pushed the market continuously higher.... >> READ MORE...

On April 2, USA Today essentially started a virtual countdown to the 1987-type market crash. May 24 was supposed to be ‘crash day.’ The market crash is obviously delayed, but is it also cancelled?... >> READ MORE...

Option traders are flocking towards call options, as the put/call ratio has dropped to 0.1. This means that there are 10 call options traded for every put option. A contrarian interpretation of this data points to even lower VIX readings, but this is not a contrarian indicator.... >> READ MORE...

Gold just saw its biggest one-day gain of the year. At the same time the S&P 500 climbed to yet another 1-year high. Since 2009, this constellation happened three times, and led to short-term S&P 500 weakness every time.... >> READ MORE...