The S&P 500 sliced below a key support level on Friday. This was followed by a 20-point decline short-term, but does it matter longer-term? Here are two charts that may have the answer. ... >> READ MORE...

It is a sign of complacency when investors are less concerned about 1-month volatility (VIX) than 3-month volatility (VXV). Has this ‘there’s no stumbling block for the next 3 months’ attitude been a contrarian indicator?... >> READ MORE...

We don’t have to look hard to find reasons to worry. However, the biggest stock market concerns have been around for months without any impact. Ironically, the most pressing concern is largely unseen and unreported.... >> READ MORE...

Uh-oh. The ‘smart money’ is selling stocks. It rarely pays to bet against the smart money, which includes insiders and hedgers with deep pockets and big research budgets. Should we be worried about their stock market exodus?... >> READ MORE...

For the first time since December, the S&P 500 suffered a weekly red candle all-time high. The same thing happened nine times since October 2011. Here’s how the S&P 500 fared thereafter. ... >> READ MORE...

The biggest Wall Street fear in December/January was that falling oil prices would sink the stock market. Here we are, many weeks later, and U.S. stocks are trading at all-time highs. What happened?... >> READ MORE...

The S&P 500 scored new all-time highs, but none of the major Dow Jones Averages (DJI, DJT and DJU) confirmed this move. There’s also another reason why it may not be a smart move to chase the S&P 500 break out.... >> READ MORE...

I became a self-proclaimed gold bull in early November, but a number of developments have put the fledgling gold bull market in jeopardy. Smart money traders and gold seasonality suggest more down side risk.... >> READ MORE...

Seasonality is not the only force to drive stocks, but it’s one of the indicators I follow. The S&P 500 seasonality chart (based on 64 years of history) shows four notable weak spots, one of them is in February.... >> READ MORE...

I was wrong! I expected the S&P 500 to rally from 1,990 to 2,080 and roll over to new lows. The rally happened, the subsequent reversal did not (at least not yet). Will the S&P 500 roll over later? Here’s an updated S&P 500 forecast.... >> READ MORE...