The three Dow Jones Averages (Industrial, Transportation and Utility) have been pulling in different directions. Utilities are coming off a nine-month low and Transportation is breaking down. How bearish is this?... >> READ MORE...

A comparison of the short and longer-term VIX reveals an extreme degree of short-term complacency (relative to longer-term complacency). The projected outcome – based on an analysis of prior instances – is pretty self-explanatory.... >> READ MORE...

After a historic drop, oil prices have gone nowhere for two months. Is the next big move brewing? To find out, we’ll look at the Oil VIX, what the ‘smart money’ is doing, oil seasonality and technicals. ... >> READ MORE...

It’s been quite a while since we’ve seen any newsworthy sentiment extremes, so the 2-year low in investor optimism is a welcome change. Here’s how the S&P 500 has reacted to similar lack of optimism in the past.... >> READ MORE...

Small cap stocks are often portrayed to be the engine that pulls the train. Throughout 2014 they were lagging, and now they are leading. Is there recent outperformance bullish for the overall market? ... >> READ MORE...

During the unstoppable rally of 2013/2014 investors were overly sensitive and panicked almost every time the S&P 500 corrected. The recent selloff however was greeted with almost callus disregard. Is this bearish?... >> READ MORE...

Apple is the most important stock in the investment universe and deserves extra attention. The AAPL chart shows how to navigate the contradiction between bullish AAPL seasonality and the ‘Dow Jones induction curse.’... >> READ MORE...

It’s not the first time we’ve seen this movie. Stocks fall, and become oversold. Buyers step back in, and erase some of the prior losses. A look at the S&P 500 chart and buying/selling pressure provides clues on whether there’ll be new lows.... >> READ MORE...

Imagine an indicator that not only telegraphed every market crash in recent decades, it also ‘told’ investors to stay long and strong from 2010 until now. No need to just imagine, sometimes dreams do come true.... >> READ MORE...

One of my predictions for 2015 was for the euro to rally. It almost looked as if the euro would do just that in late January, but it relapsed. Is the proposed euro rally plain wrong or just delayed? ... >> READ MORE...